Live experiment: paper-copying three lead traders

Grades are predictions. Predictions should be tested in public, which is why we started this experiment on 2026-08-30 with rules written before any results existed and frozen since.

The rules (frozen 2026-08-30)

• Paper money only — 10,000 USDT of simulated copy capital per lead.
• No verdict before 2027-02-28; final verdict 2027-08-30.
• Immediate disqualification if the portfolio is closed, if our simulated copy drops more than 30%, or if the lead stops trading for 30 days.
• A pass requires the copy — not the lead's own page — to show a profit factor above 1.2 with drawdown never worse than 30%.
• Even a pass caps any real allocation at money that can be lost entirely.

The prediction we recorded on day one

"Within 12 months this portfolio suffers a catastrophic drawdown or is closed like the previous nine." Recorded publicly, kept whether it proves right or wrong.

Why this matters more than any grade

One of the three leads showed +58% in the first four days — while, over the same seven days, the real copiers of that lead lost 16,652 USDT collectively. That is the entire thesis of this site in one line: the lead's curve and the copiers' money are different instruments.

Monthly updates are published here.

Independent analysis of publicly available Binance copy-trading data. Not affiliated with Binance. Not financial advice. All figures come from Binance's public API at crawl time.